Apparently there’s still room for a surprise or two in the NFL. Underdogs won six of their 14 games straight-up in Week 10, and several others snuck away with the cover – depending on when you made your football picks at Bodog Sportsbook. All of the results you see in our Week 11 NFL Power Rankings are based on the closing odds at Bodog, where our new kings of the mountain reached the top despite losing ATS on Sunday Night Football.
1. Detroit Lions (Last Week: 2)
Record: 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS
Last Game: DET 26, HOU 23 (HOU +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +400
Key injuries: none
Detroit needed a fourth-quarter comeback to get the W, thanks to QB Jared Goff’s five interceptions, but it seemed almost inevitable while it was happening in real time. The Lions are now Super Bowl LIX co-favourites at Bodog with the defending champions from Kansas City.
2. Baltimore Ravens (4)
Record: 7-3 SU, 5-4-1 ATS
Last Game: CIN 34, BAL 35 (CIN +6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +600
Key injuries: TE Isaiah Likely (questionable, hamstring)
It took a failed 2-point attempt from the Bengals for Baltimore to escape Week 10 unscathed, after WR Ja’Marr Chase scored his third touchdown of the game for Cincy. Likely sat out and remains questionable for Sunday’s AFC North matchup with Pittsburgh (+3 at home).
3. Kansas City (3)
Record: 9-0 SU, 4-4-1 ATS
Last Game: DEN 14, KC 16 (DEN +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +400
Key injuries: RB Isiah Pacheco (out, fibula), WR Rashee Rice (out, knee), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (questionable, hamstring)
The champs were even more fortunate in Week 10, blocking what would have been the game-winning field goal from Denver from just 35 yards out. Pacheco and Smith-Schuster should both return to practice this week, although Pacheco isn’t expected to suit up Sunday versus the Bills (–2.5 at home) after his extended IR stint.
4. Buffalo Bills (1)
Record: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS
Last Game: BUF 30, IND 20 (BUF –4.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +800
Key injuries: WR Amari Cooper (questionable, wrist), WR Keon Coleman (out, wrist), TE Dalton Kincaid (questionable, knee).
There isn’t much going wrong for the Bills these days, but injuries on offence could put a serious dent in their Super Bowl dreams. Head coach Sean McDermott confirmed Monday that Coleman is out for the big Week 11 matchup with Kansas City; Cooper and Kincaid are iffy, as are FB Reggie Gilliam (hip) and multiple offensive linemen.
5. San Francisco 49ers (5)
Record: 5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS
Last Game: SF 23, TB 20 (TB +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +1200
Key injuries: WR Brandon Aiyuk (out, knee), TE George Kittle (questionable, hamstring)
RB Christian McCaffrey was held to 39 yards on 13 carries in his comeback from injured reserve, although he did add 68 yards on six catches. But it was the three missed field goals from returning PK Jake Moody that led to RB Deebo Samuel physically confronting long snapper Taybor Peeper. Moody eventually hit the game-winner from 44 yards with zeroes on the clock.
6. Philadelphia Eagles (6)
Record: 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS
Last Game: PHI 34, DAL 6 (PHI –7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +1100
Key injuries: WR DeVonta Smith (questionable, hamstring), TE Dallas Goedert (questionable, hamstring)
Philadelphia looks like a Super Bowl contender now that they’re somewhat healthy again, but Smith and Goedert were both non-participants in Monday’s practice, with a short turnaround for Thursday Night Football and their NFC East rivals from Washington (+3.5 away).
7. Washington Commanders (8)
Record: 7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS
Last Game: PIT 28, WAS 27 (PIT +1.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2800
Key injuries: RB Brian Robinson Jr. (questionable, hamstring)
Robinson put in a limited practice on Monday; that was also the case each of the past two weeks, which Robinson ended up missing – including Week 10, where the Commanders dropped the cash to Pittsburgh after racking up just 60 rushing yards.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers (7)
Record: 7-2 SU and ATS
Last Game: PIT 28, WAS 27 (PIT +1.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2500
Key injuries: none
The Steelers are 4-0 SU and ATS with QB Russell Wilson at the controls. They’ve also played one of the softest schedules in the AFC; Washington was their toughest test thus far, and things will only get more difficult this Sunday when the Ravens (–3) come to town.
9. Cincinnati Bengals (9)
Record: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS
Last Game: CIN 34, BAL 35 (CIN +6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +4500
Key injuries: WR Tee Higgins (questionable, quadriceps), RB Zack Moss (out, neck)
Higgins has missed three games in a row; he and LT Orlando Brown (knee/fibula) are both considered day-to-day after participating in Monday’s walkthroughs. The Bengals are 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS this year minus their No. 2 wideout, with the defensively-sound Chargers (–1 at home) next on their dance card.
10. Minnesota Vikings (12)
Record: 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS
Last Game: MIN 12, JAX 7 (JAX +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2200
Key injuries: none
The honeymoon is officially over for QB Sam Darnold (+0.09 EPA per dropback, No. 19 overall). He threw zero touchdowns and three interceptions against Jacksonville. Reporters asked head coach Kevin O’Connell post-game whether he had considered switching to back-up Nick Mullens, although O’Connell’s response was a firm no.
11. Atlanta Falcons (11)
Record: 6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS
Last Game: ATL 17, NO 20 (NO +4)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +4500
Key injuries: none
Losing to the Saints didn’t knock Atlanta further down our rankings, but the gap between the Falcons and the rest of the fringe contenders is smaller this week. This team is league-average in just about every facet of the game, producing —0.01 net EPA per play (No. 18 overall).
12. Los Angeles Chargers (14)
Record: 6-3 SU, 6-2-1 ATS
Last Game: TEN 17, LAC 27 (LAC –8.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +4000
Key injuries: none
The Chargers kept QB Justin Herbert sack-free last week against Tennessee, and he showed some surprising mobility with 32 yards and a touchdown on nine scrambles. But they still have plenty to prove on offence after playing the AFC’s easiest schedule during the first half of the 2024 campaign.
13. Green Bay Packers (19)
Record: 6-3 SU, 4-4-1 ATS
Last Game: DET 24, GB 14 (DET –2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2500
Key injuries: none
Even while the Packers were idle last week, they moved back up the rankings as other middle-class teams fell by the wayside. QB Jordan Love (+0.10 EPA per dropback, No. 18) will appreciate this valuable time off before Sunday’s divisional tilt with the Bears (+6 at home).
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13)
Record: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS
Last Game: SF 23, TB 20 (TB +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +10000
Key injuries: WR Chris Godwin (out, ankle), WR Mike Evans (out, hamstring)
Tampa Bay needed their Week 11 bye in the worst way. They’re 0-3 SU (2-1 ATS) in these last three games without their top two wideouts, all achingly close losses against quality competition. Godwin remains on IR; Evans says he’ll “hopefully” play in Week 12 against the Giants.
15. Miami Dolphins (21)
Record: 3-6 SU and ATS
Last Game: MIA 23, LAR 15 (MIA +2.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +10000
Key injuries: none
It was ugly at times, but the Dolphins got the job done on Monday Night Football, forcing the Rams to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. Miami improved to 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS since QB Tua Tagovailoa’s return from IR; they can further rehabilitate their playoff chances this Sunday when they host the Raiders.
16. New York Jets (22)
Record: 3-7 SU and ATS
Last Game: NYJ 6, ARZ 31 (ARZ +2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +20000
Key injuries: WR Allen Lazard (out, chest)
As if the Jets didn’t have enough off-field issues, now the focus has turned to owner Woody Johnson, who’s likely to receive another ambassador posting – possibly to the United Kingdom again – in Donald Trump’s second administration. Johnson’s brother, Christopher Johnson, is expected to take over as acting team owner as he did during Trump’s first term, although that probably won’t happen until after the 2024 season has wrapped up.
17. Houston Texans (10)
Record: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS
Last Game: DET 26, HOU 23 (HOU +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2800
Key injuries: WR Nico Collins (questionable, hamstring), WR Stefon Diggs (out, knee)
Collins came off injured reserve last Saturday, but didn’t play against the Lions – why remains a mystery at press time. Houston is 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS since their star wideout last played in Week 5, falling to No. 18 overall with —0.04 EPA per play on offence.
18. Los Angeles Rams (25)
Record: 4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS
Last Game: MIA 23, LAR 15 (MIA +2.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +5000
Key injuries: none
It’s another step back for the Rams, who saw their projected playoff chances cut in half from around 20% to 10% after that loss to Miami. Will QB Matthew Stafford (+0.07 EPA per dropback, No. 20) hold up during those challenging cold-weather outdoor games in November and December? We’ll find out starting this Sunday in Foxborough.
19. Denver Broncos (15)
Record: 5-5 SU, 7-3 ATS
Last Game: DEN 14, KC 16 (DEN +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +15000
Key injuries: none
The Broncos’ defence (—0.12 EPA per play, No. 4 overall) showed up again last week against Kansas City, but their special teams couldn’t secure the victory. They’ve got a winnable game coming up Sunday versus Atlanta (+2 away), with rookie QB Bo Nix showing signs of life after an ugly start to his NFL career.
20. Arizona Cardinals (24)
Record: 6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS
Last Game: NYJ 6, ARZ 31 (ARZ +2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +5000
Key injuries: none
Believe it or not, Arizona remains atop the NFC West heading into Week 11, which is also their bye week. But this is exactly where they belong in the Power Rankings; the Cards are No. 20 in net EPA per play at —0.03. Their 4-0 SU and ATS win streak is less impressive when you look at their opponents, which happen to include the next team on our list.
21. Chicago Bears (17)
Record: 4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS
Last Game: NE 19, CHI 3 (NE +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +20000
Key injuries: none
You know it’s time to panic in Chicago when they’re already starting to talk about benching QB Caleb Williams. Head coach Matt Eberflus told reporters Sunday after losing to New England that Williams is their starter, but everything else with the offence could be on the chopping block – even offensive co-ordinator Shane Waldron, who was just handed his walking papers as we went to press. Passing game coordinator Thomas Brown will take his place.
22. Indianapolis Colts (18)
Record: 4-6 SU, 7-3 ATS
Last Game: BUF 30, IND 20 (BUF –4.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +10000
Key injuries: WR Michael Pittman Jr. (questionable, back/finger)
Has the Joe Flacco Revival Tour already fizzled out? Flacco (+0.13 EPA per dropback, No. 15 overall) has thrown two touchdown passes and four picks in two starts since taking over again for QB Anthony Richardson (–0.08 EPA, No. 33), and he sorely missed having Pittman on the field against Buffalo. Pittman is considered “week-to-week” with his multiple injuries.
23. Jacksonville Jaguars (23)
Record: 2-8 SU, 5-4-1 ATS
Last Game: MIN 12, JAX 7 (JAX +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +20000
Key injuries: QB Trevor Lawrence (questionable, shoulder), WR Christian Kirk (out, collarbone)
At least the Jags kept Minnesota out of the end zone. It appears they’re going into Tank Mode with QB Mac Jones getting the surprise start last week; head coach Doug Pederson says he has “nothing definitive” on whether Lawrence will play this Sunday against Detroit, but Jacksonville (+13 away) is on the board nonetheless.
24. Seattle Seahawks (20)
Record: 4-5 SU, 2-6-1 ATS
Last Game: LAR 26, SEA 20 (OT, LAR –1.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +7500
Key injuries: WR DK Metcalf (questionable, knee), TE Noah Fant (questionable, groin)
When head coach Mike McDonald said last week that everything would be “on the table” heading into the bye, he meant it: Seattle waived LB Tyrel Dodson on Monday. Dodson was the leading Seahawk with 71 combined tackles, but had been pushed from middle linebacker to the weakside by the arrival of Jerome Baker (formerly with Tennessee) on October 23.
25. Dallas Cowboys (16)
Record: 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS
Last Game: PHI 34, DAL 6 (PHI –7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +20000
Key injuries: QB Dak Prescott (out, hamstring), WR Brandin Cooks (out, knee)
So much for 2024. Prescott has opted for season-ending surgery, and there might be other Cowboys ready to pack it in this year. LB Micah Parsons had some unkind words for head coach Mike McCarthy after Sunday’s embarrassing loss to the Eagles, although he tried to walk them back somewhat during his Monday podcast. Owner Jerry Jones has repeatedly said he won’t make a coaching change until at least 2025 – after McCarthy’s contract expires this offseason.
26. New York Giants (29)
Record: 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS
Last Game: NYG 17, CAR 20 (OT, CAR +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +50000
Key injuries: WR Darius Slayton (out, concussion)
It looks like the Brian Daboll-Daniel Jones Era is coming to an end for Big Blue. After losing across the pond to Carolina, Daboll said he would “evaluate” their quarterback situation heading into this bye week. Jones (–0.01 EPA per dropback, No. 28) had zero TD throws and two picks versus the Panthers, his fourth goose egg in five starts since early October.
27. Tennessee Titans (26)
Record: 2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS
Last Game: TEN 17, LAC 27 (LAC –8.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +50000
Key injuries: none
QB Will Levis (–0.24 EPA per dropback, No. 41 overall) returned from sick bay last week and got sacked seven times by the Chargers, although he did go pick-free for the first time this season while throwing 18-of-23 for 175 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Minnesota (–6 away) won’t make it much easier for Levis this Sunday.
28. Cleveland Browns (27)
Record: 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS
Last Game: LAC 27, CLE 10 (LAC –2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +30000
Key injuries: QB Deshaun Watson (out, Achilles)
Let’s see if the Browns still have some juice coming out of the bye week against New Orleans (–1 at home). QB Jameis Winston (–0.05 EPA per dropback, No. 24 overall) has indeed been an improvement over Watson (–0.21 EPA, No. 40), although that’s not saying much.
29. New Orleans Saints (28)
Record: 3-7 SU, 3-6-1 ATS
Last Game: ATL 17, NO 20 (NO +4)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +18000
Key injuries: WR Rashid Shaheed (out, knee), WR Chris Olave (out, concussion)
The Saints are 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS behind QB Derek Carr (+0.16 EPA per dropback, No. 12), so don’t write them off just yet – although the cupboard is getting very thin at wideout. Good thing WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (three catches for 109 yards and two TDs versus Atlanta) was there on the scrap heap after getting cast aside by the Bills last month.
30. Las Vegas Raiders (30)
Record: 2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS
Last Game: LV 24, CIN 41 (CIN –7.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +50000
Key injuries: QB Aidan O’Connell (out, thumb)
We still don’t know whether Gardner Minshew (–24.5 Elo points per career game) or Desmond Ridder (–33.6) will start in Week 11 at Miami, so this matchup remains circled at Bodog as we go to press – but we do know the Raiders will have made at least some changes on offence coming out of the bye. They could have sneaky value versus a Fins team that played Monday night.
31. New England Patriots (31)
Record: 3-7 SU, 4-5-1 ATS
Last Game: NE 19, CHI 3 (NE +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +50000
Key injuries: none
It was tempting to put New England ahead of the Raiders – they’re 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three starts. But this is still a steep learning curve for rookie QB Drake Maye (–0.03 EPA, No. 30) playing behind what might be the worst offensive line in the NFL.
32. Carolina Panthers (32)
Record: 3-7 SU and ATS
Last Game: NYG 17, CAR 20 (OT, CAR +6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +50000
Key injuries: RB Jonathon Brooks (out, knee), WR Adam Thielen (questionable, hamstring) Another win for QB Bryce Young (–0.26 EPA per dropback, No. 42)? Well done, but Young is still well behind Andy Dalton (–0.12 EPA, No. 37) in terms of immediate value. Perhaps the bye week will help Young and the Panthers figure things out – and get Brooks and Thielen healthy enough to face Kansas City in Week 12.
Bookmark this page for more of Bodog’s NFL Power Rankings as the season progresses. Where will your team rank next week?