This is when things start getting a little crazy around the NFL. It’s the first week after US Thanksgiving, which means “football weather” has arrived in places like Green Bay and Buffalo. We’ve also got our first batch of eliminations to report; four teams have been dropped from our Super Bowl odds board here at Bodog Sportsbook, with more to come as December unfolds.
All that nasty weather and tanking should be taken into account if you want to make smarter football picks. Underdogs may have thrived in Week 13, but they didn’t handle the cold very well – and it’s only getting colder as we line up our NFL Power Rankings for Week 14.
1. Detroit Lions (Last Week: 1)
Record: 11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS
Last Game: CHI 20, DET 23 (CHI +9)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +250
Key injuries: WR Kalif Raymond (out, foot)
Beating the Bears on Thanksgiving Day was harder than expected, but Detroit still leads the league in net EPA (Expected Points Added) at +0.30 per play. If only they had a top-end tailback like Barry Sanders, they’d be just about perfect.
2. Baltimore Ravens (3)
Record: 8-5 SU, 6-6-1 ATS
Last Game: PHI 24, BAL 19 (PHI +3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +1000
Key injuries: WR Rashod Bateman (questionable, knee)
The Ravens move up to No. 2 despite losing to the Eagles. WR Diontae Johnson didn’t play a snap in that game, even after Bateman left the field in the third quarter (Tylan Wallace got the WR2 assignment instead). Johnson has just one catch on four targets since coming over from Carolina in late October. When asked, head coach John Harbaugh refused to guarantee Johnson’s spot on the team heading into their bye week.
3. Buffalo Bills (2)
Record: 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS
Last Game: SF 10, BUF 35 (BUF –6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +475
Key injuries: WR Keon Coleman (questionable, wrist), TE Dalton Kincaid (questionable, knee)
Sunday’s accidental “hook and ladder” touchdown in the snow has made Bills QB Josh Allen a virtual lock to win his first league MVP award. Allen is the –280 favourite at Bodog as we go to press, ahead of Saquon Barkley (+300) and Lamar Jackson (+800).
4. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
Record: 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS
Last Game: PHI 24, BAL 19 (PHI +3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +500
Key injuries: WR DeVonta Smith (questionable, hamstring), TE Dallas Goedert (questionable, knee)
Can the Eagles stay healthy enough to keep their Super Bowl dreams alive? Smith has missed back-to-back games despite putting in some limited practices, and Goedert is “a candidate for short-term IR” according to The Philadelphia Enquirer.
5. Kansas City (5)
Record: 11-1 SU, 4-7-1 ATS
Last Game: LV 17, KC 19 (LV +14)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +500
Key injuries: WR Rashee Rice (out, knee)
The defending champs are running out of ways to get bailed out. Last week, it was the Raiders botching a snap with 15 seconds remaining while driving into field-goal range. At least they finally have RB Isiah Pacheco (44 yards on seven carries) back on the field.
6. Green Bay Packers (13)
Record: 9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS
Last Game: MIA 17, GB 30 (GB –3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +1400
Key injuries: RB Josh Jacobs (questionable, calf), WR Romeo Doubs (questionable, concussion)
The biggest movers and shakers on our board, Green Bay jumps from No. 13 after taking advantage of a Miami team that just can’t seem to handle the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. They won’t have the same edge this Thursday night when they visit the Lions (–3.5).
7. Minnesota Vikings (7)
Record: 10-2 SU, 7-4-1 ATS
Last Game: ARZ 22, MIN 23 (ARZ +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +1800
Key injuries: none
The Vikings signed Daniel Jones (–0.02 EPA per dropback, No. 30 overall) to be their back-up QB. Jones might not be an improvement over Sam Darnold (+0.13 EPA, No. 15), but he’s better than replacement-level at a position of need.
8. Cincinnati Bengals (8)
Record: 4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS
Last Game: PIT 44, CIN 38 (PIT +3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +25000
Key injuries: RB Zack Moss (out, neck)
They’re almost certainly not going to make the playoffs now, but with that explosive offence, the Bengals are still a threat to win any given Sunday – or Monday in this case, with the Cowboys (+5) playing host in Week 14.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (16)
Record: 6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS
Last Game: TB 26, CAR 23 (OT, CAR +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +6000
Key injuries: WR Chris Godwin (out, ankle)
While the Bucs are second in the AFC South because of tiebreakers, they’re clearly the best team in the division. QB Baker Mayfield (leg) and RB Bucky Irving (hip) are banged-up but expected to play Sunday versus the Raiders (+7).
10. Miami Dolphins (14)
Record: 5-7 SU and ATS
Last Game: MIA 17, GB 30 (GB –3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +15000
Key injuries: none
Miami may indeed be allergic to football weather, but they won’t have to worry about it this Sunday when they host the Jets (+6). And their performance level against a quality Packers team was still high enough to move them up our rankings.
11. Pittsburgh Steelers (9)
Record: 9-3 SU and ATS
Last Game: PIT 44, CIN 38 (PIT +3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +2000
Key injuries: WR Calvin Austin III (questionable, concussion)
Okay, QB Russell Wilson (29-of-38, 414 yards, three TDs in Week 13) still has some magic in that right arm. But what happened to that Steelers defence? Maybe things will be better this Sunday; LB Alex Highsmith expects to play against Cleveland after missing three games with a sprained ankle.
12. Washington Commanders (12)
Record: 8-5 SU, 8-4-1 ATS
Last Game: TEN 19, WAS 42 (WAS –6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +7000
Key injuries: WR Noah Brown (questionable, ribs), RB Austin Ekeler (out, concussion)
The bye week came too late for Ekeler – he was placed on injured reserve Saturday, and won’t be eligible to return until Week 18. RB Brian Robinson Jr. (ankle) suited up against Tennessee and gashed them for 103 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries.
13. Denver Broncos (15)
Record: 8-5 SU, 10-3 ATS
Last Game: CLE 32, DEN 41 (DEN –6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +4000
Key injuries: none
The Broncos also have the bye after Monday night’s slugfest with the Browns. QB Bo Nix (+0.01 EPA per dropback, No. 27 overall) continues to move up the charts, but Denver’s defence needed a pair of pick-6s from Jameis Winston (34-of-58, 497 yards, four TDs, three INTs) to bail them out.
14. Los Angeles Chargers (10)
Record: 8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS
Last Game: LAC 17, ATL 13 (LAC +1)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +3300
Key injuries: RB JK Dobbins (out, knee), WR Ladd McConkey (questionable, knee)
Beating the Falcons just wasn’t good enough to keep LA in our top 10. Dobbins was put on injured reserve and won’t be back until at least Week 17; McConkey’s status for Sunday Night Football versus Kansas City (–4 at home) is highly uncertain at press time.
15. San Francisco 49ers (6)
Record: 5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS
Last Game: SF 10, BUF 35 (BUF –6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +12000
Key injuries: RB Christian McCaffrey (out, knee), RB Jordan Mason (out, ankle), WR Brandon Aiyuk (out, knee)
This could be it for the Niners. They fell at snowy Orchard Park last week after McCaffrey and Mason were knocked out with what could be season-ending injuries. Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that both were likely headed for injured reserve. Rookie RB Isaac Guerendo will get the start this Sunday against the Bears (+4 away).
16. Houston Texans (11)
Record: 8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS
Last Game: HOU 23, JAX 20 (JAX +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +3300
Key injuries: WR Stefon Diggs (out, knee)
The Texans are living proof that straight-up winners don’t always perform well ATS. They’ll have the bye week to consider what went right and wrong against Jacksonville, but they won’t have LB Azeez Al-Shaair for the next three games after he “put a hat” on Trevor Lawrence while the Jags QB was sliding to the ground.
17. Seattle Seahawks (18)
Record: 7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS
Last Game: SEA 26, NYJ 21 (SEA +1.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +6000
Key injuries: none
Make that 3-0 SU and ATS for the Seahawks with RT Abraham Lucas back in the lineup. They’ve still got depth issues on the offensive line and across the defence, but Seattle can put a hammerlock on the NFC West with a win this Sunday at Arizona (–2.5).
18. Atlanta Falcons (17)
Record: 6-6 SU, 5-6-1 ATS
Last Game: LAC 17, ATL 13 (LAC +1)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +9000
Key injuries: none
Is QB Kirk Cousins (+0.12 EPA per dropback, No. 16) washed? Cousins threw four interceptions last week against the Chargers with zero touchdown passes; that’s three straight games without a TD for Cousins during this 0-3 SU and ATS slide.
19. Los Angeles Rams (19)
Record: 6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS
Last Game: LAR 21, NO 14 (LAR –3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +8000
Key injuries: none
The Rams aren’t about to give up when the NFC West is still up for grabs – although head coach Sean McVay says it’s unlikely TE Tyler Higbee (knee) will make his season debut this Sunday against the Bills (–4.5 away).
20. New York Jets (21)
Record: 3-9 SU and ATS
Last Game: SEA 26, NYJ 21 (SEA +1.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: WR Allen Lazard (out, chest)
The Aaron Rodgers Watch continues. Despite what may have been his worst performance as a Jet, Rodgers is still their No. 1 QB according to interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich. Seattle held New York scoreless in the second half after returning a Rodgers pick 92 yards to paydirt in the second quarter.
21. Chicago Bears (22)
Record: 4-8 SU, 7-4-1 ATS
Last Game: CHI 20, DET 23 (CHI +9)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: RB Roschon Johnson (questionable, concussion)
It finally happened; Chicago fired head coach Matt Eberflus after their Turkey Day loss to Detroit, where the clock ran out on the Bears during their last drive while they still held a time-out. Offensive co-ordinator Thomas Brown will act as interim head coach; GM Ryan Poles will reportedly keep his job for now.
22. Arizona Cardinals (20)
Record: 6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS
Last Game: ARZ 22, MIN 23 (ARZ +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +10000
Key injuries: none
Did head coach Jonathan Gannon sink Arizona’s playoff chances by going for the field goal on fourth down with the ball on the Minnesota’s 4-yard line, putting the Cards up 22-16 with 3:30 left on the clock? Maybe, if they lose again to Seattle this Sunday.
23. Jacksonville Jaguars (27)
Record: 2-10 SU, 6-5-1 ATS
Last Game: HOU 23, JAX 20 (JAX +3.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: QB Trevor Lawrence (questionable, concussion), WR Christian Kirk (out, collarbone), WR Gabe Davis (out, knee)
Credit Lawrence for giving it a go in Week 13, but he might be done for the year after absorbing that illegal hit from Al-Shaair. Head coach Doug Pederson says he’ll wait until Lawrence clears protocol before deciding what happens next. Mac Jones is next in line at quarterback, followed by CJ Beathard.
24. Indianapolis Colts (23)
Record: 6-7 SU, 8-5 ATS
Last Game: IND 25, NE 24 (NE +2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +25000
Key injuries: WR Josh Downs (out, shoulder)
Downs has the bye week to recover from the injury he suffered in Week 12, but Colts head coach Shane Steichen isn’t sure Downs will be back at all this year. The prognosis looks better for centre Ryan Kelly (knee) to come off IR and plug one of the many holes in their offensive line.
25. New Orleans Saints (24)
Record: 4-8 SU, 4-7-1 ATS
Last Game: LAR 21, NO 14 (LAR –3)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: WR Rashid Shaheed (out, knee), WR Chris Olave (out, concussion), TE Taysom Hill (out, knee)
So much for that last-gasp playoff drive. Not only did New Orleans lose Sunday’s game to the Rams, they also lost Hill for what should be the rest of the season with a torn ACL. It’s his third major injury of the year after missing games to a bruised lung and fractured ribs.
26. Cleveland Browns (26)
Record: 3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS
Last Game: CLE 32, DEN 41 (DEN –6.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: QB Deshaun Watson (out, Achilles), WR Cedric Tillman (questionable, concussion)
Tillman, who was injured during the third quarter of Cleveland’s 24-19 win over Pittsburgh in Week 12, was inactive for Monday’s loss in Denver. It didn’t end up hurting the Browns’ offence too badly. He’ll have the short week to prepare for Sunday’s tilt with the Steelers.
27. Dallas Cowboys (30)
Record: 5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS
Last Game: NYG 20, DAL 27 (DAL –4.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: QB Dak Prescott (out, hamstring), WR Brandin Cooks (out, knee), TE Jake Ferguson (questionable, concussion)
They’re still here. Back-to-back wins SU and ATS have the Cowboys three games behind Washington for the last Wild Card berth in the NFC, with five games left to play – including this Monday nighter against Cincinnati.
28. Las Vegas Raiders (28)
Record: 2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS
Last Game: LV 17, KC 19 (LV +14)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: N/A
Key injuries: QB Gardner Minshew (out, collarbone), RB Alexander Mattison (questionable, ankle), RB Zamir White (questionable, quadriceps)
Both Mattison and White were inactive last week versus Kansas City, but the Raiders still out-rushed the champs with the 1-2 combo of Sincere McCormick (64 yards on 12 carries) and Ameer Abdullah (39 yards on 10 carries).
29. Tennessee Titans (31)
Record: 3-9 SU, 2-10 ATS
Last Game: TEN 19, WAS 42 (WAS –6)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: +100000
Key injuries: none
The Titans have yet to be officially eliminated, but you wouldn’t have known by the way they played against Washington. This is a bottom five team in just about every aspect of the game besides run defence.
30. New York Giants (25)
Record: 2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS
Last Game: NYG 20, DAL 27 (DAL –4.5)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: N/A
Key injuries: QB Tommy DeVito (questionable, forearm), TE Theo Johnson (out, foot)
QB Drew Lock got the start last week in Dallas and looked pretty good, but a pick-6 and a lost fumble allowed the Cowboys to steal the game in the fourth quarter. Worse, DT Dexter Lawrence dislocated his elbow during the second half and went on injured reserve Monday.
31. New England Patriots (29)
Record: 3-10 SU, 5-7-1 ATS
Last Game: IND 25, NE 24 (NE +2)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: N/A
Key injuries: none
It’s the bye week for New England, with little to show for their 2024 campaign other than some positive development from QB Drake Maye (–0.03 EPA per dropback, No. 31 overall).
32. Carolina Panthers (32)
Record: 3-9 SU, 5-7 ATS
Last Game: TB 26, CAR 23 (OT, CAR +7)
Super Bowl Odds at Bodog: N/A
Key injuries: TE Ja’Tavion Sanders (questionable, neck), WR Jalen Coker (questionable, quadriceps) Head coach Dave Canales says “the hope” is that both Sanders and Coker will be ready for Sunday’s matchup with the Eagles (–12.5 at home) after sitting out Week 13.
Bookmark this page for more of Bodog’s NFL Power Rankings as the season progresses. Where will your team rank next week?